Citywire printed articles sponsored by:
View the article online at http://citywire.co.uk/money/article/a413054
Economics chief Budd quit after Osborne pressure over jobs data
The government has admitted the newly formed Office for Budget Responsibility made last-minute changes to job forecasts.
Markets
Pressure from chancellor George's Osborne led to the resignation of Sir Alan Budd, head of the Office for Budget Responsibility, says economist Douglas McWilliams.
The news comes as Treasury officials admit the newly formed body made last minute changes to its job forecasts which downplayed the risks from the government's unprecedented spending cuts.
On Wednesday, just two months into the job, Budd (above) said he would not renew his three-month contract. He did not give any further explanation and the decision came after the OBR's initial economic forecasts were criticised for being too optimistic.
McWilliams, chief executive of the Centre for Economics and Business Research, said when the figures were challenged the government tried to pressurise Sir Alan and that he decided 'enough was enough'.
That echoes concerns from other economists that chancellor George Osborne (below) created the OBR to justify his own policy decisions rather than to provide the accurate, independent forecasts.

McWilliams said: 'Sir Alan was insufficiently radical or had insufficient time to challenge the forecasts emerging from the Treasury model so a set of forecasts emerged which made George Osborne look silly and Alastair Darling look good.'
The first two reports from the OBR were met with incredulity by most economists. The heckling grew louder after the Office published jobs data just ahead of Prime Minster's Questions.
The data predicted 2 million jobs would be created by the private sector over the current parliament far more than have been created in that time-frame in modern history.
It also said only 499,000 jobs would be lost in the public sector but it now transpires that was its second estimate. Its first had said the figure would be 175,000 higher.
The previous government had said job losses in the sector would total 460,000 under its less draconian plans.
During questions. prime minster David Cameron said the data showed fewer jobs would be lost under the new government.
Tools from Citywire Money
More about this:
More from us
What others are saying
- MPs to grill spending watchdog over accuracy of forecasts.
- http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2010/jul/02/office-budget-responsibility-forecasts
- OBR to face grilling over accuracy of forecasts
- job forecasts
- Late OBR changes shrank job loss figure
Archive
Today's articles
- UK inflation drops sharply to 3%
- Eurobond hopes fuel more FTSE gains
- Henderson Asian Growth: 1bn new consumers can't be wrong
- Bank of England forced to accept credit crunch probe
- PPI becomes most complained about product ever
- Investment trusts: 2 resilient funds for troubled Europe
- The Expert View: Kingfisher, ITV and BTG
- Should financial firms live by these golden rules?





7 comments so far. Why not have your say?
andrew sutherland
Jul 09, 2010 at 09:45
Bit different from what has been reported elsewhere. He was in there for 3 months, and that is all he is staying, nothing less, nothing more.
Note to Deborah Hyde - There is a difference between 'quit' and 'not renewing', or where you just after a sensational headline?
report thisChartered Accountant
Jul 09, 2010 at 10:06
I agree with Andrew Sutherland. Budd was only ever staying for three months. However that doesn't seem to stop the politically motivated from building this non-event into something sinister. T'was ever thus!
report thisStephen Roach
Jul 09, 2010 at 10:36
I doubt very much that Budd took on a job he only intended to stay in for 3 months, but sooner or later the truth of the matter will out, and people will be able to judge for themselves the credibility of the Osbourn/OBR figures.
report thisRetired
Jul 09, 2010 at 11:16
Will George Osborne turn out to be another Gordon Brown?
report thisstuart cropper
Jul 09, 2010 at 12:56
DEBORAH HYDE, puts some good talking points into her articles .she creates interest which is the way forward .it is a debatable viewpoint whether this coilition is here for a few month`s or years ,, liberal voters are p, off with their party for going in with the tories and many are going to defect because of this ,much criticism with local liberal voters will cause them to lose seats at the next election .the tories could be facing the same reaction from their voters ,labour was the wise owl in not being to forward in an alliance with the liberals ,it is certain that labour will return to power at the next election which could be nearer than the five years ,
report thismichael coxson
Jul 10, 2010 at 18:14
George osborne silly and Allister darling clever ?????????????? AND.
report thismichael coxson
Jul 10, 2010 at 18:15
Sorry Alastair......
report thisleave a comment
Please sign in here or register here to comment. It is free to register and only takes a minute or two.