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ETFs: what you need to know about counterparty risk
Many exchange traded funds (ETFs) are backed by banks acting as counterparties. As the eurozone debt crisis continues to unfold we look at what this means for ETF investors.
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Many exchange traded funds (ETFs) are backed by banks acting as counterparties. As the eurozone debt crisis continues to unfold we look at what this means for ETF investors.
Banks under the cosh
Investor confidence in eurozone banks will continue to be tested as the debt crisis judders from one landmark event to the next.
Many European banks passed the latest 'stress' test but with experts still working out what last week's bailout of Greece – and the 'haircut' it gave to bond investors – it is still unclear what losses this will generate for banks and the impact on their financial stability.
Meanwhile, the deadlock over the US debt ceiling could cause mayhem in the financial system if the political impasse is not resolved soon or if it leads to an historic downgrade in the country's credit rating.
Investors in exchange traded funds (ETFs) will be particularly worried amid all this uncertainty following the Bank of England's recent warning about the potential perils of ETFs.
The message from the bank in its financial stability report in June was that many consumers do not understand the risks associated with 'synthetic' ETFs; or for that matter the risks associated with real, or 'physical', ETFs.
Both forms of ETF lay investors open to uncertainties in their connections to banks.
In the case of synthetic ETFs, which artificially generate the returns of indices such as the FTSE 100, the risk comes from the fact that their returns are guaranteed by individual banks, while investors in physical ETFs are put at risk by their habit of lending out the shares they own.
Investors holding synthetic ETFs backed by a eurozone bank, should find out how much exposure they have to that bank and whether it is strong enough to survive whatever storm the crisis throws up.
They should also find out if the wider doubts aired by the Bank of England about ETFs could harm their investments.
Synthetic vs physical
So what is the difference between synthetic and physical ETFs? A synthetic ETF is a fund that tracks the performance of an index, say the FTSE 100, without owning shares in the companies that make up the index. In contrast, a physical ETF will buy and hold shares in all FTSE 100 companies to replicate the index returns.
Effectively, a synthetic ETF offers access to the entire index, just as a physical ETF might, but it by-passes the hassle of buying into individual stocks by going direct to a bank and swapping its investors’ cash for the performance of the FTSE 100.
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What others are saying
- Bank for International Settlements: ETF warning
- IMF: ETF warning
- http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/fsr/2011/fsrfull1106.pdf
- Bank of England: Financial Stability Report
- Investopedia: counterparty risk
- iShares: FTSE 100 ETF
- db x-trackers: FTSE 100 ETF
- Lyxor FTSE 100 ETF
- Financial Times: Commodity ETFs and counterparty risk
- Index Universe: Japan ETF spreads spike
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19 comments so far. Why not have your say?
David Trigg
Jul 27, 2011 at 18:52
But a 'physical' ETF such as ETFS Physical Metals (PHPM) should be sfae as they hold the Physical Metal as I understand it.
report thisPaul 2
Jul 27, 2011 at 19:18
There is a nuance on the swap risk as described for the synthetic ETF.
The bank could take all the ETF's cash and return it as required, plus the profit or less the loss on the index. In this case the ETF could lose all its money if the bank went broke.
Alternatively the swap and the physical deposit of cash could be separate transactions, with the ETF and the bank making regular payments to each other under the swap, according to how the index was performing. The cash would then be invested separately by the ETF in accordance with its risk policy.
report thisMaverick
Jul 27, 2011 at 19:19
David - Do you seriously think a "physical" ETF holds physical metals to the same value as the investors' funds? Where do they store them?
Don't invest in anything you don't understand.
I fully admit I don't understand ETFs. That's why I'm not going anywhere near them.
report thisWilliam Bishop
Jul 27, 2011 at 19:39
I remain unconvinced of the utility of ETFs, at least for UK taxpayers. For those willing to speculate on the basis of some market or sectoral view, spread betting, being free of capital gains tax, seems to make a lot more sense, providing that it is done with adequate stop/loss precautions.
report thisynys
Jul 27, 2011 at 22:07
I remember my car insurance terminating abruptly as the company wen bust (much of their business was insuring schools and unfortunately the little stinkers delighted in setting them ablaze).
If u own real shares or a fund of real shares, even though the companies themselves may undergo hard times or some go bust, u should never the less hold something of value which may bounce back.
There have been other examples of investors being left up the creek eg with pensions
Guess it is best to be not too far removed from real assets and not dependent upon the longevity of particular firm or its promises.
The BO of E are fine ones to criticise though, as they continue to print money and let inflation rise through not adjusting interest rates.
report thisJeremy Fryman
Jul 27, 2011 at 22:10
Has someone only just listened to BBC File on Four. 'Business Us Usual' 5th July 2011.
If not it is here:-
http://downloads.bbc.co.uk/podcasts/radio4/fileon4/fileon4_20110705-2045a.mp3
Happy listening folks and fasten your seat belt for the financial next debacle.
report thisDave Duffy
Jul 28, 2011 at 03:06
Does anyone here have a link to a list of ETF's showing whether they are synthetic or physical?
Cheers
report thisJeremy Fryman
Jul 28, 2011 at 08:00
Surely you must have noticed the small print on a funds spec sheet. "May use market instruments as deemed necessary" ( Not the exact words) but you surely understand that all the fund managers 'play' with your money, some with success for you some for themselves.
report thisBob M
Jul 28, 2011 at 10:48
I hold ETFS Agriculture (AIGA), Grains (AIGG), Energy (AIGE) and Crude Oil (CRUD) and had read that you should check funds were UCITS 3 registered. How much protection does UCITS 3? The fact sheet on these funds says "UCITS 3 Eligible investments", is this the same as registered? I would welcome comment on how safe these are and any preferred alternatives. All advice much appreciated
report thisDave Duffy
Jul 28, 2011 at 14:03
Re: Jeremy Fryman.
Yes, I know about market instruments/derivatives etc but looking for a link to a list of Physical ETF's rather than studying each and every fund's small print.
report thisDave Duffy
Jul 28, 2011 at 14:07
Yes I know about market instruments/derivatives but I am just looking for a link to a list of Physical ETF's rather than trawl through the small print in hundreds of fund's spec sheets
report thisDave Duffy
Jul 28, 2011 at 14:08
Repeated comment due to lost internet connection
report thisMark Thompson
Jul 29, 2011 at 23:55
Does anyone realizes that the risk of an ETF, even synthetic from Deutsche Bank is actually *LOWER* than keeping the money in your bank account ? Deposits are insured only up to 100,000 Euro in Europe. IF Deutsche Bank becomes insolvent the whole Germany will be wiped out as their liabilities are 7 times the German GDP.
ADDITIONALLY does anyone understand that physically replicated ETFS like ishares lend 60% or more of the holdings out and you have NO IDEA on who the counterparty is ?
Oh last but not least. Good luck with your mutual funds as the fund manager can simply make a wrong bet in derivatives (authorised for most mutual funds) and blow up the whole portfolio. But just because you don't see it it doesn't mean it is more secure... oh yeah let's wait next quarter/annual report.
At least on DB you know who the counterparty is. In a fund you don't.
report thisIvor Nestegg
Jul 30, 2011 at 12:16
Yes, I think we have all got the message about "synthetic ETFs" but could we please be told which ones are "physical ETFs"?
What about the Ishares Funds, for example, which are a popular holding?
report thisAndrew G Whiteley
Aug 01, 2011 at 12:39
Stock lending is commonplace in unit trusts and OEICS why is this never mentioned? How many investors who have piled money into the Blackrock UK Absolute Alpha fund have knowledge of their stock lending activities and collateral quality.
@dave duffy ishares publish their "ETF Landscape - Global Handbook" quarterly and in that lists all the ETFs available by exchange with all the relevant replication details. You may not be able to access via the internet if you are not an adviser. I am and could assit you if required.
@Bob M - these are all ETC's - Exchange Traded Contracts and as such have 100% risk to the counterparty chosen by ETFS. The collateral is revalued daily to mitigate that risk but should the chosen counterparty - UBS & Merrill Lynch feature prominently - then you would be entitled to a share of the collateral pot which is around 80% global equities and 20% cash.
report thisDave Duffy
Aug 01, 2011 at 13:49
@Andrew G Whiteley,
Many thanks for the details of ETF Landscape Andrew, I managed to download the 2011 Q1 copy of the handbook and it is very informative.
I assume that the synthetic ETF's are indicated by an "S" in the "approximate number of securities" column. It was a little surprising to see that leveraged ETF's only make up such a small percentage of the value traded. I risk just 5% of my portfolio on swing trades on 2 of the Triple Leveraged Direxion ETF's.
I know they are meant for day trading only due to re-balancing but they have been good for the holiday fund....
Just out of interest, is a 2011 Q2 or Q3 handbook out yet?
Thanks again
report thisAndrew G Whiteley
Aug 01, 2011 at 14:07
@Dave Duffy
Only Q1 available at present. If you read across the double page spread there is a "replication method" column on the facing page which details the structure behind every product.- 3x leveraged is too rich for us, best of luck with that...
We run a range of risk graded, multi-asset model portfolios for our clients using mainly ETFs www.provisio.co.uk but we have steered clear of individual Commodity bets and opted for a broad exposure via teh Lyxor CRB ETF (LCTY.LN)
Regards
report thisDave Duffy
Aug 01, 2011 at 16:30
Ok thanks for your help Andrew, much appreciated
report thisBarry Honeyman
Aug 04, 2011 at 13:33
It never ceases to amaze me how often our industry gets caught up with complex instruments that they believe will offer them the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow. Many professionals have lost sight of good old fashioned, long term value investing within a well diversified portfolio where we actually own (a part of) something with an intrinsic value.
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