Citywire printed articles sponsored by:
View the article online at http://citywire.co.uk/money/article/a415907
How do savers beat inflation now?
The surprise withdrawal of all National Savings & Investments savings certificates has left savers scratching around for a safe haven for their money which will show a real rate of return.
Markets
All index-linked gilts are currently trading well above par (£100) with some at over £300. Yields on index-linked gilts are currently either negative or below 1% for the long dated issues. Most of the return comes from the indexation of the capital over the term of the bond and you have to be prepared to hold the bonds to maturity to get this return.
File and forget
Who knows what will happen to inflation over 25 years or longer? As Pemberton puts it: ‘Index-linked gilts should be treated as a “file and forget” asset in a well diversified long-term portfolio. Tactically now is probably a poor time to buy "linkers" given the potential for loss should gilt yields rise.’
These gilts are not for the average small investor and anyone considering index-linked gilts should talk to a private client stockbroker or wealth manager and take advice.
Wait and see
Perhaps the best strategy is put money on deposit and wait and see whether NS&I comes up with a new CPI-linked savings certificate. However, for some time now conventional deposit accounts have shown a return well below the rate of inflation which means the buying power of savers’ capital is being eaten away.
After taking into account tax, the situation is indeed dire. A basic-rate taxpayer will need a return of 4% to beat CPI, or 6.25% to beat RPI.
Sadly, our cynical savings institutions have lowered their Cash ISA rates to the point where the return is not much better than a taxed account.
Santander's Super Flexible ISA offers one of the best returns at 5.5% tax free - but only to those who take out a separate investment product with the bank. Nationwide's three-year fixed-rate ISA pays 4% which beats the CPI for basic rate taxpayers. If you have large sums to invest the best rate comes from ICICI Bank which is offering 4.75% for a five-year investment.
Tools from Citywire Money
More about this:
More from us
- Webb: CPI link is a less volatile measure for pensions
- Inflation falls to 3.2%
- NS&I pulls inflation linked savings products
- The top ISAs and bonds for hard-pressed savers
- Inflation or deflation? We pit hawks against doves
Archive
Today's articles
- Greece goes and we’re awash with ‘worthless paper’
- UK inflation drops sharply to 3%
- Henderson Asian Growth: 1bn new consumers can't be wrong
- Eurobond hopes fuel more FTSE gains
- Should financial firms live by these golden rules?
- China economic picture darkening, warns Brevan Howard
- Bank of England forced to accept credit crunch probe
- PPI becomes most complained about product ever





19 comments so far. Why not have your say?
Anonymous 1 needed this 'off the record'
Jul 20, 2010 at 16:01
This is part of the governments' plans: everyone with savings going to have their wealth devalued amidst high inflation.
report thisWise Woman
Jul 20, 2010 at 16:10
The Government is doing its best to stop people from saving. They obviously just want to artificially pump up the economy with even more debt.
Deja vu, anyone?
report thisAnonymous 2 needed this 'off the record'
Jul 20, 2010 at 16:29
Wise Woman = no such thing
report thisSP
Jul 20, 2010 at 16:38
If investors refuse to look outside the box when it comes to investing then they will never find opportunity; it's the typical blinkered approach people take to investing. Is there such thing as a safe haven.....
report thisAnonymous 3 needed this 'off the record'
Jul 20, 2010 at 16:46
The message is clear - unless you have to (house deposit etc) do not save in the present environment - spend and enjoy especially before the VAT rise.
The danger is that people will get sucked into alternative real investments which are currently at a premium. An example of this is the classic car market. Some of the junk on offer at amazing prices defies belief. A bit of inflation could be a good thing for savers providing the interest rates match.
report thisDouglas
Jul 20, 2010 at 17:48
Ms Bourke "How do savers beat inflation now". A very clear picture on what the problems are, and what they are going to be, but not a word to answer the headline.
The standard never changes.
report thisAnonymous 4 needed this 'off the record'
Jul 20, 2010 at 17:48
well the last time classic cars were selling like they are today was in the early 90s, then every twat who knew what he liked was buying then like in the Modern art market, well shares and houses were no good so........
a few years latter people no longer talked about it in pubs or auction houses.
In the USA they even have auction programs on TV just for Vintage Cars.
Well they got to loose it somewhere aint they eh.
report thisgeorge_the_third
Jul 20, 2010 at 17:51
Presumably National Savings is part of the National Debt, just as are gilts. So a government dedicated to reducing the national debt is simply doing what it said it would do.
None of which is any consolation to savers like myself, but at least it makes sense.
At least bank interest isn't like it was when Harold Wilson let inflation rip out of control and we were getting 12-14% on savings accounts to cope with inflation of over 20%. The Tories are bad, but not that bad!
report thisAnonymous 5 needed this 'off the record'
Jul 20, 2010 at 20:09
I thought investing in shares was supposed to be a hedge against inflation. Presumably we should choose companies that can increase there prices in line with inflation.
report thismark gordon
Jul 21, 2010 at 06:33
It might be bad for savers but it must be good for a nation of seriously indebted souls. Nothing like a spot of inflation to shrink that huge scary mortgage. 5 to 10 years of decent inflation and you will be able to stick it on your credit card. Just one caveat, you better hang on to your job and make sure your pay rises keep up with the inflation rate. Not always that easy.
report thisArborbridge
Jul 21, 2010 at 09:18
Mark Gordon's point is all very well for those of working age, but those retired (many of whom like myself have never been seriously indebted) are not in such a happy position. Savings and retirement incomes are being eroded to pay for the recklessness of other parties. The change from RPI to CPI (if it happens, and it will) at NSandI just means they borrow my money and pay me back in devalued currency. I would not even be treading water, but sinking - it would be, in all but name, robbery.
By the way, Anonymous 1's comment is quite unaccurate, unecessary and out of place.
Arb.
report thisRoy Oswald
Jul 21, 2010 at 09:31
Savers shop around and get as good a deal as you can - these will be tough times for many of us but complaining will not improve the situation. At least 3% interest should be possible and could tide you over until things improve.
report thisMark Lawrence
Jul 21, 2010 at 13:01
In the late 1960s and in the 1970s when inflation last let rip in the UK, people on a fixed income (like pensioners or public sector workers subject to pay restarint) had no industrial muscle to guarantee payrises to keep up with inflation. they lost out massively as prices shot up and pensions, savings, state benefits and pay did not keep up with inflation. Only those in industries and occupations with a strong trade union presence were able to force pay rises out of employers and the government.
Thirty years later the demographic makeup of the UK today is very different: there are many more pensioners, lots of whom are on fixed incomes as before. Can the Con-Lib governement afford politically to alienate such a large swathe of the electorate by destroying savings as a result of inflating their way out of the debt crisis ?
report thisUnruly Oldgit
Jul 21, 2010 at 15:25
Actually, Anonymous 1's comments are accurate, necessary and moderate. [This doesn't apply to his/her use of the apostrophe].
report thisArborbridge
Jul 21, 2010 at 17:37
Unruly Oldgit,
Sorry, you're correct. I meant Anonymous 2!
Arb
report thisDavid Dry
Jul 21, 2010 at 19:54
"The government is concerned that banks and building societies are experiencing difficulties in raising funds for mortgages and small businesses!!!"
Do me a favour!! Does it think Joe Public is so daft he will invest at the current rates which commit him to about a 3% loss on his capital - whether you use RPI or CPI ?
report thisDenis Bourke
Jul 25, 2010 at 11:28
I am always fascinated by economists' dichotomy of consumption v savings. Savings is consumption of an investmnent product. Some of these products improve in value over time, some tank, and some just wither away. We need to evaluate what we 'spend' on - goods&services, investment, or debt reduction.
Are the people with NS&I still holding significant debt on credit cards?
report thisHarry Pearson
Aug 06, 2010 at 17:15
Does anyone out there seriously think that politicians will convert their talk about cutting state costs such as inflation proof salaries and pensions into actions ? The have and indeed will always take the easy way out via inflation. Half a dozen years of inflation around 5% will do wonders to their debt pile.
report thisAnonymous 6 needed this 'off the record'
Aug 18, 2010 at 11:16
to beat inflation try googlng zopa .risky but hey faint heart and all that.
report thisleave a comment
Please sign in here or register here to comment. It is free to register and only takes a minute or two.