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Morning Line: Why the Bank of England’s decisions still matter to you

It is clear the Bank of England is going to keep interest rates on hold for many, many months, but this indecision means we're all being squeezed.  

by Deborah Hyde on Sep 09, 2010 at 12:20

Morning Line: Why the Bank of England’s decisions still matter to you

Today's Bank of England decision on interest rates may be billed by many as a non-event - but for me it is a scary reminder that I need to get my finances in order.

After all, the men on the Monetary Policy Committee have been weighing the risks to the economy, pondering how long they can allow rates to stay low if inflation doesn’t begin to fall back and trying to work out whether the recent run of very poor UK data is the start of a period of slow growth or a sign that the economy is about to fall back into recession.

We know there are more than a handful of them who are prepared to plough more money into the economy if they believe a ‘double dip’ is a real possibility.

And if they do and they have their numbers wrong there is a risk that could one day mean much higher inflation than we have now.

For now, it seems they’re either frozen with fear about the consequences of doing the wrong thing, cannot get to grips with what the data means or believe that we need some more concrete news before they act.

Against that backdrop, it is easy to feel despondent and powerless, especially with everyone talking about rising unemployment and rising prices.

With the value of the pound shrinking, our savings losing money as prices rise and the rates on our borrowing soaring it is a struggle to know what to do.

Traditionally safe homes for your money such as government bonds are actually losing money by the day and other good homes for your cash such as the NS&I are pulling some of their best offers.

And all the government can do is promise to cut spending and only lift some taxes.

There are good reasons for the powers that be in Whitehall and Threadneedle Street to be doing what they are. But it is not without risk. Spending cuts could hamper economic growth and we may all live to regret the decision to keep interest rates at record lows despite above-target inflation.

Even if you agree with the policy decisions it is hard to shake off that feeling that we're all sitting in a slow motion car crash.

Not that I believe it is inevitable the economy will plunge into a Japan style decade of deflation and serial recessions.

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2 comments so far. Why not have your say?

snoekie

Sep 09, 2010 at 15:14

"we may all live to regret the decision to keep interest rates at record lows despite above-target inflation."

Oh but I am regretting the decision, as are millions of other savers. The reason for the decision is in part that the Bank, as does Downing Street, knows that as we have money and will have to reduce the savings, in many instances, to maintain a near semblance of our previous lifestyle, reduced, so that borrowers, many of whom can afford paying higher rates, so that a few (quite a large number, but small in the context of the number of borrowers) can continue reasonable lifestyle and to save the banks from losses when some of those would default on their loans and lead to more losses for the banks bad decision to lend those few money if market rates were applied to the loans..

There will be in those numbers those who were a solid risk, but that a change of circumstance (loss of job) made them default. That is life, and it ain't never fair, something I oft told my kids.

It is the savers who are being whipped, punished, for the wrong actions of others.

Now if the Decision makers were also being whipped by reducing their pay by the proportionate amount of the reduced rates for savers, they would swiftly restore proper rates to market levels to get their 'rewards'.

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John Kenyon

Sep 09, 2010 at 18:00

What are proper rates? Debt and investment is being reduced as a result of lower demand for funds - seems working properly?

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