Citywire for Financial Professionals
Stay connected:

View the article online at http://citywire.co.uk/money/article/a606381

Smart Investor: why I like shares in AstraZeneca

Pharmaceutical giant AstraZeneca (AZN.L) has had a difficult year, losing its chief executive in the first round of the 'Shareholder Spring' revolts. Yet Smart Investor is pleased with its financial performance.

 
Smart Investor: why I like shares in AstraZeneca

Pharmaceutical giant AstraZeneca (AZN.L) is one of the biggest dividend payers on the FTSE 100, but will the looming 'patent cliff' hurt future performance?

Background

FTSE 100-listed AstraZeneca (AZN.L) is the 13th-biggest listed company in the UK, with a market capitalisation of £37.2 billion.

Formed in 1999 through the merger of Sweden’s Astra AB and the UK’s Zeneca group, AstraZeneca researches, develops, manufactures and markets prescription medicines for six important areas of healthcare: cancer, cardiovascular, gastrointestinal, infection, neuroscience, and respiratory and inflammation.

It currently employs 57,000 people in Europe, the Americas and Asia, and last year invested about $4 billion in research and development.

Performance

AstraZeneca’s performance over the past five years has been highly impressive, with the company profitable in all five years. Net profit has grown at an annualised rate of 12.3% over the period, hitting around £6.4 billion in 2011 (all figures assume an exchange rate of £1 = $1.55).

This equates to a quite superb return on equity (ROE) of 42.9% last year and an average ROE of 38% over the past five years.

Such returns are made all the more impressive when AstraZeneca’s capital structure is taken into account. Debt levels are moderate, meaning the debt-to-equity ratio is just 40%, and interest cover is a very healthy 29.5.

The company benefits from a very substantial economic moat in the form of patents for the drugs it produces. Furthermore, substantial regulation and the aforementioned research and development costs prevent most potential new entrants from competing on a significant scale.

Yield strength

As for dividends, AstraZeneca currently yields around 6% from a very comfortable payout ratio of 38%. The company is ranked sixth on the FTSE 100 top yielding list and, as mentioned, its dividends are well covered with scope to significantly increase the payout ratio.

Furthermore, dividends per share have increased at an annualised rate of 8.4% over the past five years, which offers further encouragement for income seekers.

Free cash flow is healthy, averaging £5.4 billion over the past five years versus average net profit of £4.8 billion over the same period.

Is it good value?

In terms of value, a price-to-earnings ratio of just 6.25 is incredibly cheap, and a price-to-book ratio of 2.54 is also perfectly acceptable, meaning the shares appear to offer excellent value at the current price of £29.47.

Sign in / register to view full article on one page

3 comments so far. Why not have your say?

John @ UKValueInvestor.com

Jul 24, 2012 at 10:57

Hi SI, I still hold AZN too. The big question is the patent cliff, but how that will pan out is anybody's guess in my opinion. So far it has continued to deliver the goods and with aggressive share buy-backs the expected shrinkage isn't affecting per-share results.

report this

Tony Peterson

Jul 24, 2012 at 14:20

I like AZN too, and my most recent purchases were around £26, so after the recent growth spurt I'm top slicing a few of these and finding other bargains. There's plenty around today.

report this

JB987

Jul 28, 2012 at 17:37

Yes, the patent cliff is the issue with AZN, as everyone knows. But the nub of it is: by how much will it reduce earnings---in terms of percentages rather than adjectives? We can read plenty about how the patent cliff is "severe", "worse than GSK's", etc. But who has sat down with a pile of paper, a calculator, and a hundred cups of coffee to actually quantify its effect? Probably someone at GSK has, but they're not telling us.

report this

leave a comment

Please sign in here or register here to comment. It is free to register and only takes a minute or two.

News sponsored by:

The Citywire guide to investment trusts

In association with Aberdeen Asset Management

Henderson Global Investors: 2014 looks set to be another strong year for UK commercial property


Andrew Friend, acting co-manager*, and Marcus Langlands Pearse, co-manager of the Henderson UK Property Unit Trust (HUKPUT), provide an overview of the key risks and opportunities for the UK commercial property market.

More about this:

Look up the shares

  • AstraZeneca PLC (AZN.L)
    Register or Sign in to receive email alerts for items in your favourites whenever we write about them

More from us

Archive

Today's articles

Tools from Citywire Money

From the Forums

+ Start a new discussion

Weekly email from The Lolly

Get simple, easy ways to make more from your money. Just enter your email address below

An error occured while subscribing your email. Please try again later.

Thank you for registering for your weekly newsletter from The Lolly.

Keep an eye out for us in your inbox, and please add noreply@emails.citywire.co.uk to your safe senders list so we don't get junked.

Sorry, this link is not
quite ready yet