Citywire for Financial Professionals
Share this page:
Stay connected:

Citywire printed articles sponsored by:


View the article online at http://citywire.co.uk/money/article/a418769

Sterling climbs on US woes but are we really faring better?

The pound has leapt to a five-month high against the dollar as investors compare the UK favourably with the US. Are these hopes valid?  

by Deborah Hyde on Jul 31, 2010 at 00:01

Sterling climbs on US woes but are we really faring better?

The pound has leapt to a five-month high against the dollar as investors compare the UK favourably with the US. Are these hopes valid?

A good month for the pound

The pound has had a great July and finished the month with a flourish, adding yet another cent against the dollar.

From the end of June it has jumped around 11 cents to a five-month high above $1.57.

There is more than one reason for the sharp gains including some good news on the outlook for the world's banks, the receding fears about sovereign debt and some encouraging corporate news on both sides of the Atlantic and not forgetting the sharp expansion of the UK economy in the second quarter.

With people generally feeling more confident it is not surprising they have moved away from safe-havens like the dollar and gold and started picking up riskier assets.

Currencies though are also plays on the relative attractiveness of their domestic economies so the much better-than-expected news on UK growth in the second quarter and some less than inspiring economic news out of the US has added to support for sterling.

The cautious comments from the IMF and Moody’s about the outlook for the US have also been a boon to the pound.

After all, the US government is still spending money stimulating the economy and has made no plans to cut its massive debt mountain.

Mark Deans, dealing manager at Moneycorp, expects the dollar to continue to weaken over the next few weeks as sterling now looks in a relatively strong position and the market is encouraged by government plans to get on and fix broken Britain.

Sturdy sterling

The fact that sterling shrugged off this week's downbeat house price data from Nationwide and PricewaterhouseCoopers also shows how confident investors are feeling.

Deans thinks that while the UK data is still mixed it looks much better than the doomsday scenario many had expected a few months ago.

Sign in / register to view full article on one page

3 comments so far. Why not have your say?

William Bishop

Jul 31, 2010 at 11:24

The UK might be better off in the immediate future, because tight supply in the housing market means prices have recovered and few mortgages are under water. In the US, consumers have much more of a struggle, with house prices essentially flat at their bottom level and many foreclosures still in train plus large amounts of negative equity that seem unlikely to be eliminated any time soon. On the other hand, a recovery primarily based on rising consumption may not be a viable option in the longer run, as it would only recreate previous imbalances. There is thus something of a dilemma between a need for less dependence on consumption for economic growth in the longer run, and the need for some of this at least to sustain the present recovery.

report this

Anonymous 1 needed this 'off the record'

Jul 31, 2010 at 12:56

Well, I'm off on holiday to the USA in a couple of weeks so it's good news for me and my family.

report this

Raymond Hurley

Aug 02, 2010 at 09:11

The time taken to read this article was wasted.

There was no information of value, and the grammar,punctuation and syntax certainly needed attention.

On the other hand,the comment by William Bishop was worth reading.

Perhaps City Wire can employ him.It would certainly be an improvement.

report this

leave a comment

Please sign in here or register here to comment. It is free to register and only takes a minute or two.

Sorry, this link is not
quite ready yet