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Investment Line: Is it too late to ride the commercial property recovery?

by Matthew Goodburn on Jan 20, 2010 at 08:00

Peters says the likelihood of income tax and VAT rises after the next election will also put pressure on commercial property yields.

Despite this, he says Invista have identified some selective undervalued pockets of commercial property in the City of London, compared to the more overheated West End office market,where he sees more potential uplift.

He picks  UK Commercial Property (Ordinary Share) however as a relatively safe investment in the sector as it has no gearing issues, while for the slightly more adventurous, he picks Invista Foundation Property (Ordinary Share).

‘The dividend is only about 70% covered but it is interesting as it has cash to invest and they are good asset managers, who actively manage it and move tenants around.’

With Invista now at 44p after launching at 100p, Peters says it is hard to describe those who have not invested over recent months as having missed the boat.

Yet he does believe most of the share price appreciation of the last few months is now over, even if yields now look a little more solid.

‘Investors have missed the majority of share price appreciation, but I think yields look more sustainable now than they were. I don’t think we will see further big rises in NAV but we should see a solid steady progression.’

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1 comment so far. Why not have your say?

Andrew Baker

Jan 20, 2010 at 16:34

Closed end funds may well have reached a high on their price at this time, though perhaps there is a little bit more to go, but open-ended insurance and pension property funds will move up for the next few months at least on the back of hefty cash sums being pointed in their direction. Managers will have to invest a goodly amount of this which will push prices up and produce a positive feedback loop that will bring higher monthly valuations, attracting more money.

It will be a bubble, but for those happy to ride it, get in now if not already there: getting out will also be that much easier as valuations stand for some time before the next one, often not until a month later.

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