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Pound falls as Fitch warns of UK's ‘formidable’ debt challenge

by Deborah Hyde on Jun 08, 2010 at 11:31

The pound fell in late morning deals after credit ratings agency Fitch warned the debt challenge facing the UK government was 'formidable', and that cuts would have to be deeper and quicker than former chancellor Alistair Darling had planned.

The pound was down one cent or 0.5% against the dollar at $1.4393, and one cent lower against the euro at €1.2082.

Mark Bolsom, head of the UK trading desk at Travelex, said: 'The gloomy outlook from Fitch is weighing heavily on sterling this morning and will have heightened investor fears of a debt downgrade to the UK sovereign debt rating.'

Bolsom said the fact that Fitch had felt the need to comment on the UK deficit again was an indication that it is still considering downgrading the UK’s sovereign debt rating.

The note from Fitch also pushed gold to new highs, up $8.80, or 0.71%, to $1249 an ounce as investors fled from risky assets. 

Fitch said the rise in public debt in the UK since 2008 was faster than in any other 'AAA' rated country, and that the UK needs to do more than almost any other advanced country to bring debt back down to more acceptable levels.

And it said the task ahead will be difficult given growth forecasts will probably be lowered.

'While a similar deficit reduction path to that set out in the April 2010 Budget, but based on more realistic growth assumptions might be viewed as more credible, it would still run the risk of leaving the UK as something of a standout relative to the deficit targets of other advanced country sovereigns,' Fitch said.

Both the size of the UK deficit currently projected for 2011 and the failure to reduce it to 3% of GDP within five years are striking, the agency said.

It said a more ambitious deficit reduction path – with borrowing 1% lower than the April 2010 Budget throughout the medium term - would help to create a cushion against future shocks.

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5 comments so far. Why not have your say?

Julian Stevens

Jun 08, 2010 at 11:57

If you voted Labour, what d'you expect?

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Michael Fallas

Jun 08, 2010 at 13:56

What took Fitch so long to work that one out I wonder ?

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Anthony Rapp

Jun 08, 2010 at 19:28

Not one labour goverment since the last

war has walked away from office leaving

the country's finances in a reasonable

state, on the contrary it has always been a

disaster.

If the the Lib Dems can put up a good show by supporting the Tories through these difficult times then may there will not be a labour party in the future as the Lib Dems become the natural alternative..

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Chris F

Jun 08, 2010 at 19:32

This agency rated countless mortgage backed securities as equivalent to the best sovereign debt out there - on par with German or US bonds.

They were written off within 2 years.

Now these fools are commenting on the UK economy, which has a real effect on the country.

Why does anybody believe them?

Is there really more chance that UK PLC will default on Gilt payments as Rabobank defaulting on a bond payment?

It's very clever to bleat about Labour and make a political point about this issue, but this is real life and not something to score political points with.

Shame on the credit ratings agencies. Shame on our so called regulators for not banning their pronouncements. Shame on people for talking this country down to make a point about a political party.

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Fred Taylor

Jun 08, 2010 at 20:11

So much of what i read regarding the UK financial situation is tainted with political motivations.

Where can i find out the truth,and if anyone is genuinely to blame,or if the whole situation has been brought about by us all living way above our means for the last forty years?

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