Twitter icon Email alerts icon Latest News RSS icon Magazine icon Stay connected:

View the article online at http://citywire.co.uk/wealth-manager/article/a733600

Chinese exports surge unexpectedly by 10.6% in January

by James Phillipps on Feb 12, 2014 at 08:29

Chinese exports surge unexpectedly by 10.6% in January

China’s exports unexpectedly surged by 10.6% year-on-year in January, reversing suggestions that the economy is in contraction.

Analysts’ consensus was for the figure to be flat after recent slips in the purchasing managers’ index and other indicators.

Indeed, the extent of the apparent surge in exports has led some market commentators to query the accuracy of the numbers. Some analysts have said it is more likely that companies are overstating the value of export shipments in order to bypass China’s strict capital controls and bring money into the country.

The Chinese authorities vowed to clam down on false reporting last May, but these figures have led to analysts querying whether the practice has returned.

Capital Economics rejected this theory, however. The consultancy said: 'China's exports did far better than expected in January. Over-invoicing as a way to evade capital controls is being touted as one explanation but we can't find much evidence of that- indeed, if anything, this should have suppressed export growth last month.

'Strengthening global demand may have contributed but the key factor will probably prove to have been an unusually large distortion around Chinese New Year.'

Others have queried this theory however, saying that Chinese lunar New Year falling in January this year would have been expected to dampen exports.  

leave a comment

Please sign in here or register here to comment. It is free to register and only takes a minute or two.

News sponsored by:

Sponsored Video: Bringing it all back home


As the UK coalition government strives to rebalance the national economy, so called 'reshoring' looks set to play an increasingly important role in economic recovery.

Today's top headlines

Investing for income in a changing environment


With talk on interest rates on the horizon, our latest roundtable debate covers income investing against a changing backdrop

More about this:

Archive

On the road

Click here to find out more from the Audience Development team.

Sorry, this link is not
quite ready yet