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The Expert View: Tullett Prebon, DCC and Telecity

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by Michelle McGagh on Jun 04, 2014 at 05:01

Our daily roundup of the best analyst commentary on shares, also including LondonMetric and Anite.

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Key stats
Market capitalisation£667m
No. of shares out218m
No. of shares floating207m
No. of common shareholdersnot stated
No. of employees2603
Trading volume (10 day avg.)0m
Turnover£804m
Profit before tax£66m
Earnings per share30.09p
Cashflow per share35.00p
Cash per share129.15p

*Correct as at 3 Jun 2014

Tullett Prebon hit by rumours of Terry Smith’s departure

Speculation that chief executive of wholesale financial broker Tullett Prebon (TLPR) Terry Smith is to step down is a further blow to an already struggling company.

Shore Capital analyst Gary Greenwood reiterated his ‘sell’ after the Financial Times reported Smith would step down before the end of the year, with former Lehman’s executive John Phizackerley the leading candidate to take his place.

‘Smith’s potential departure comes at a time when the company is suffering from significant revenue pressure owing to historically low levels of volatility and regulatory changes that are affecting their interdealer brokers and their clients,’ said Greenwood. ‘The newspaper understands that Smith wishes to spend more time pursuing his other business interests, notably Fundsmith, the asset management business that he recently founded.’

Greenwood said the departure would be ’viewed with some trepidation’ considering Smith’s standing in the investment community.

‘On balance, we view news of Smith’s potential departure as a negative for the investment case. We continue to harbour concerns around the future prospects of the voice broking industry in which Tullett operates as we view it as being in structural decline. While consolidation is a possibility, we do not see this as a good enough reason alone for investors to own the shares,’ he said.

Key stats
Market capitalisation£2,994m
No. of shares out84m
No. of shares floating78m
No. of common shareholdersnot stated
No. of employees9153
Trading volume (10 day avg.)0m
Turnover11,033m EUR
Profit before tax111m EUR
Earnings per share1.32 EUR
Cashflow per share2.18 EUR
Cash per share6.24 EUR

*Correct as at 3 Jun 2014

DCC extends its reach with medical acquisition

Support services business DCC (DCC) has boosted its medical division with the acquisition of Williams Medical, a supplier of medical and pharmaceutical products, for £45 million.

Peel Hunt analyst Christopher Bamberry has retained a ‘buy’ rating and increased the target price of the stock from £33.65 to £35.10. Shares yesterday fell 20.7p, or 0.6%, to £35.72 on the news.

‘[DCC has acquired] Williams Medical, the market leader in the supply of medical and pharmaceutical products and related services to GPs in Britain, for an enterprise value of £45 million,’ said Bamberry. ‘The price paid equates to 7.5 times historical profits and 9.4 time price earnings [ratio]. March 2015 profit before tax is increased by 2% as a result.

‘Williams will extend DCC Vital’s market coverage from the hospital and retail pharmacy channels into the GP channel, giving it the most comprehensive sales and distribution network in Britain and Ireland.’

Key stats
Market capitalisation£903m
No. of shares out628m
No. of shares floating563m
No. of common shareholdersnot stated
No. of employees27
Trading volume (10 day avg.)1m
Turnover£40m
Profit before tax£-13m
Earnings per share-2.40p
Cashflow per share-9,999,999.00p
Cash per share4.45p

*Correct as at 3 Jun 2014

LondonMetric Reit is fully valued, says Liberum

Real estate investment trust (Reit) LondonMetric Property (LMP) is looking fully valued to Liberum analyst Jon Stewart.

Stewart retained a ‘hold’ recommendation and a target price of 133p on the shares, which fell 1.2p, or 0.8%, to 144.2p yesterday.

’16.8% total return from net asset value growth and dividends in 2014 is commendable, albeit leaning heavily on yield compression which accounted for around 60% of this return,’ he said. ‘With yields now at long-term averages, we expect yield compression to slow in the absence of a pick-up in rental growth. This is expected to be gradual, leaving the current valuation at 1.2 times March 2014 net asset value looking full in our view.

‘While there is support from a 4.8% dividend yield… we still see downside risk to earnings per share forecasts from disposals.’

Key stats
Market capitalisation£1,495m
No. of shares out203m
No. of shares floating190m
No. of common shareholdersnot stated
No. of employees612
Trading volume (10 day avg.)0m
Turnover£326m
Profit before tax£65m
Earnings per share32.12p
Cashflow per share57.09p
Cash per share11.47p

*Correct as at 3 Jun 2014

Strong datacentre growth reiterates Telecity as a ‘buy’

New figures on the prospects for datacentres bode well for data management facilities provider Telecity Group (TCY).

Investec analyst Roger Phillips has reiterated his ‘buy’ recommendation and target price of 925p after a quarterly report from the CBRE showing a year-on-year rise of 90% in European demand for data centres in its first quarter, which follows on from a strong fourth quarter. Shares yesterday fell 7.5p, or 1%, to 737p.

‘Amsterdam and Frankfurt were the stars, while London turned in a mixed performance, with strong headline demand skewed by large deals,’ said Phillips. ‘Overall, the full year 2014 thesis of double-digit organic growth in Europe and mid-single digit in the UK driving around 10% growth overall looks well supported.’

He added that risks remained in ‘unforeseen additions to industry supply’.

Key stats
Market capitalisation£288m
No. of shares out301m
No. of shares floating282m
No. of common shareholdersnot stated
No. of employees538
Trading volume (10 day avg.)1m
Turnover£133m
Profit before tax£19m
Earnings per share6.32p
Cashflow per share9.29p
Cash per share5.55p

*Correct as at 3 Jun 2014

Non-core division sell off sets Anite up for beneficial next move

Software provider Anite (AIE) has continued to sell off non-core businesses, allowing it to focus on faster paced and more beneficial areas.

Jefferies analyst Milan Radia retained a ‘buy’ rating and a target price of 110p on the stock. Shares yesterday rose a penny to 95.3p. The company, which specialises in providing software to the international wireless and leisure travel industries has sold its travel division to focus on its wireless arm, which provides mobiles devices and networking testing systems.

‘The sale of Anite’s travel division to LDC [for £45 million] was positively received by the market and rightly so,’ said Radia. ‘It completes the divestment of non-core businesses. We expect the proceeds to be deployed on acquisitions. Wireless testing is moving at a fast pace and the ability to bolt on innovative and adjacent technologies will be strategically very beneficial to Anite.’

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