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Trust Insider: is deep discount European property worth a punt?

by James Carthew on Jun 17, 2014 at 00:01

Trust Insider: is deep discount European property worth a punt?

I promised this week I would look at some of the Eastern European property funds. Like the private equity companies I examined last week, these were almost entirely launched in the boom times of 2005-07 and suffered in the downturn that followed.

Some of these are so tiny that they are not worth dwelling on – funds such as Pactolus Hungary and Black Sea Property have been selling off assets and returning the proceeds to shareholders for some time.

But there are some real heavyweight funds focused on the area as well. Raven Russia (warehouses in Russia) has a market cap of £549 million and is trading on a 3.6% discount; Dolphin Capital Investors (specialising in beachfront land in Croatia, Greece, Cyprus and Turkey plus some off-topic exposure to Panama and the Dominican Republic) has a market cap of £238 million but still trades on a 50% discount. Mirland Development Corp holds a mix of residential and commercial real estate in Russia and seems to be trading on a substantial premium.

This week I will focus on two Ukrainian property funds, Dragon Ukrainian (DU) and Secure Property Development (SPD). These have market caps of £33 million and £18 million. I have no idea how the political situation will pan out but, superficially, these funds are attractively valued. They are trading on discounts of around 66% and 42% respectively

DU raised about $300 million (£175.5 million) from investors in 2007. It bought a substantial quantity of property but was blessed with cash in the downturn rather than being leveraged into it, and it repurchased a large proportion of its share capital at a discount. The Ukrainian economy let them down though, it was severely affected by the crisis and this hurt the net asset value (NAV).

DU adopted a realisation strategy in February. Its portfolio is based around Kiev and the western part of Ukraine, apart from one investment held through its 12.5% holding in AIM-quoted Arricano Real Estate, a shopping mall in Simferopol in Crimea. Arricano’s share price does not seem to have been affected by recent events, but there has not been much trading in it.

The investment case for DU was that there was a lack of decent quality property in Ukraine and that, as the economy grew, upward pressure on rents and yield compression would generate decent returns for shareholders. It invested in high-end residential developments around Kiev, which are gradually being built out and sold off.

DU also plans to build a residential tower in Obolon in Kiev. This has been delayed by the economic situation but has now secured local funding and it has commenced pre-sales of apartments.

The other focus of the portfolio is on retail property. It holds a series of shopping centres. Partly through its investments in Arricano and, until recently, a stake in another retail developer, Henryland, cash is flowing back to DU from this investment.

DU also acquired a substantial land bank of 600 hectares around Kiev that it hoped would be rezoned for residential and commercial development. The land bank has lost considerable value over time as development work has been curtailed. DU is experimenting with selling part of it to private individuals.

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  • Pactolus Hungarian Property PLC
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  • Black Sea Property Fund Ltd
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  • Dolphin Capital Investors Ltd
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  • MirLand Development Corporation PLC
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  • Dragon-Ukrainian Properties & Development PLC
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  • SPDI Secure Property Development and Investment PLC
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  • Arricano Real Estate PLC
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Look up the investment trusts

  • Raven Russia (Ordinary Share)
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  • Globalworth Real Estate Invest (Ordinary Share)
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