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What the ECB could have in store for markets
Second guessing the ECB has always been notoriously difficult, as the central bank often disappoints investors and commentators with its inaction, but then surprises them with potent hammer blows of definitive action.
However, after last month’s press conference post the regular monthly meeting, the ECB has teed this meeting up to be one of action.
The question is how much action and what are markets pricing in already?
The range of actions that have been tossed about by the market is really very broad, including:-
- A refinancing rate cut
- A deposit rate cut (into negative rates territory)
- Additional liquidity through another round of LTROs
- An asset backed securities purchase programme
- Direct purchasing of EU sovereign debt
- Various direct and indirect lending programmes to SME’s
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